Those Greeks practically invented mathematics way back before
Christ, and I don’t think anything was added to what they figured out until the
late middle ages. Well the addition of arabic numerals was a big advance, but
that was more of a way of keeping track than a new discovery. Myself I found
those Greek letters rather elegant, especially the deltas with those little
triangles. How come the guys who worked out the latin alphabet didn’t include
the delta? It would have gone fine in the place of that stupid ‘O’ which looks
just like a Goddamn zero, what the hell were they thinking? Didn’t they realize
that in a couple thousand years we would have flight confirmation codes where we
would have to squint to see whether it was an ‘O’ or a ‘0’?
The thing is with this plenitude of studies what you really have to
do is examine the studies. Like if you are in a mob and the question is whether
to fish or cut bait, and some of the guys think we ought to fish and some think
we ought to cut bait, you can very roughly just go with the majority, or you can
pay attention to who says what, and discount the dumbasses. You really need to
examine the studies a bit, which have the biggest samples, which are the newest,
which took care to account for other influences, who sponsors them? It is a bit
of work, but if you are seeking after truth, it’s something you have to
do.
But it is a philosophical problem. It’s a natural tendency to
believe stuff that agrees with what you already believe and to toss aside that
which doesn’t. But then you run the risk of never learning anything. I think
one thing that helps is to read a lot on the different sides of the issue. As
you know I am a pretty partisan democrat, and when I read about some terrible
thing that the republicans have done I am outraged of course. But then I force
myself to think what if the democrats had done something similar, and then it
doesn’t seem all that bad.
Everybody believes that climate changes over time (except for maybe
those fundamentalists who think we have only had like six thousand years of
time). But let’s say we have a bank and people come and go from the bank all
the time, and sometimes the bank has a lot of money and sometimes it doesn’t, so
really it would be hard to say this or that guy took the money. But if we knew
the bank had so much money yesterday and now has considerably less, and that the
last guy we saw leaving it (emission CO2) has a long criminal record, and
incidentally was seen carrying a bag with a dollar sign on it, I don’t think
we’d shrug our shoulders and say how can we tell who took the
money.
It is a separate argument what to do about global warming. As a
libertarian, and thus a laissez faire capitalist I don’t see how you can think
that raising the cost of energy won’t decrease emissions. This is Free Market
101. It may turn out that it’s not wise to raise the cost of energy for other
reasons, but then make that argument separately.
No comments:
Post a Comment