No, no, no. When the stock market crashes that money is gone,
gone, gone, solid gone. It doesn’t find it’s way into some other investment or
country, it is poof, gone like the morning dew. If you had cashed in your
investment on Tuesday you could have bought a Cadillac, on Wednesday you will be
lucky to get a Ford. In something like a stock market crash, almost all stocks
go down and almost everybody is poorer.
Overall there is less money than there was before. The factories
and the farms and the paper currency are all the same on Wednesday as they were
on Tuesday, we still have the same stuff as we did yesterday, but we have less
money.
Of course in a sense that money never really existed, not the way
that the factories and the farms and the paper currency do, but poor people are
losing their jobs and rich people are jumping out of windows. Doesn’t matter to
frugal folks like you and me who don’t need the money right away and can ride it
out, and I believe the market has always come back so far, though I am always
nervous about believing in something that has always happened before because
everything that isn’t happening for the first time has always happened before
and will continue to do so, until it doesn’t.
The stock market does things and then the analysts say it is
because of this or that, but nobody really knows because it is such a complex
thing. But one thing that I think you can rely on is that it doesn’t like
uncertainty, and nobody wants to be loaning money to a country that says maybe
it will, and maybe it won’t, be paying its debts, depending on its politics, so
US currency (which is the linchpin of the world economy) takes a hit and all
Americans are a little bit poorer so that a bunch of nuts can increase their
political capital.
You can sell your securities at any time, but you can’t necessarily
get the price that you wanted, a little like your house, if you sold it cheaply
enough you could always sell it, but right, it’s not as flexible because every
piece of a fund looks just like every other piece of the fund, but all houses
are different.
Consider that when Israel goes to war it has actually been
attacked. When Uncle Sam goes to war, outside of going after Bin Laden in 2001,
it’s not because we have been attacked, it’s because we don’t like something
that happened somewhere else in the world. We may give to the Palestinians but
it’s a mere pittance of what we give to Israel. It’s not like we are giving
equally to both sides.
And we give foreign aid in general not out of the goodness of our
hearts, but because we hope to influence their foreign policy in a cheaper way
than putting boots on the ground, except in the case of Israel who we give money
to and they influence our foreign policy.
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